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All Years
Average seasonal path across every valid historical year.
Post-Election
Average path across years after a presidential election (year % 4 == 1).
1981, 1985, 1989, 1993, 1997, 2001, 2005, 2009, 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025
Mid-Term
Average path across mid-term years (year % 4 == 2).
1982, 1986, 1990, 1994, 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022
Pre-Election
Average path across years before a presidential election (year % 4 == 3).
1983, 1987, 1991, 1995, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2023
Election
Average path across U.S. presidential election years (year % 4 == 0).
1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024
Trump Presidency Years
Average path across the defined Trump-administration years.
2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2024, 2025
2026 YTD
Direct cumulative return of the current year to date.
2026