Toggle profiles from the legend · hover to inspect
All Years
Average seasonal path across every valid historical year.
Pre-Election
Average path across years before a presidential election (year % 4 == 3).
1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2023
Election
Average path across U.S. presidential election years (year % 4 == 0).
2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024
Post-Election
Average path across years after a presidential election (year % 4 == 1).
2001, 2005, 2009, 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025
Mid-Term
Average path across mid-term years (year % 4 == 2).
2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022
Trump Presidency Years
Average path across the defined Trump-administration years.
2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2024, 2025
2026 YTD
Direct cumulative return of the current year to date.
2026
A historical seasonality screen of the S&P 500 ties October-December performance to the 2026 mid-term election cycle.
Sep 6, 2026
How NVIDIA historically moved across election-cycle profiles, monthly checkpoints, and 2026 year-to-date.
Aug 31, 2026