SPY

All Years

Average seasonal path across every valid historical year.

Post-Election

Average path across years after a presidential election (year % 4 == 1).

1993, 1997, 2001, 2005, 2009, 2013, 2017, 2021, 2025

Mid-Term

Average path across mid-term years (year % 4 == 2).

1994, 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022

Pre-Election

Average path across years before a presidential election (year % 4 == 3).

1995, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2023

Election

Average path across U.S. presidential election years (year % 4 == 0).

1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024

Trump Presidency Years

Average path across the defined Trump-administration years.

2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2024, 2025

2026 YTD

Direct cumulative return of the current year to date.

2026